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Draft National Steel Policy 2047 Targets 604 MT Capacity, 302 kg Per Capita Consumption, 45 MT Exports

The draft National Steel Policy Vision 2047, released on Monday, 12 October, outlines a long‑term framework to make India’s steel sector globally competitive, technologically advanced and environmentally sustainable. It sets a target of 604 million tonnes of crude steel production by 2047, 302 kilograms of per‑capita consumption, and 45 million tonnes of steel exports. The policy also aims to increase raw‑material security for iron ore and coking coal, reduce imports, and raise the share of high‑end steel in overall output. These objectives are aligned with the broader Viksit Bharat@2047 vision.

The current National Steel Policy 2017 had a 300‑million‑tonne capacity goal by 2030, 160 kilograms per‑capita consumption, and a focus on raw‑material availability. The new draft expands these ambitions, projecting finished steel demand of 505 million tonnes by 2047. It identifies manufacturing and infrastructure as primary demand drivers, with construction and infrastructure accounting for about 67 per cent of consumption and automobiles, engineering goods, appliances and packaging contributing another 28 per cent. Rapid urbanisation, renewable energy, clean mobility, digital infrastructure and emerging technologies are also cited as demand catalysts.

Shares of steel producers, iron ore miners, steel‑processing companies and infrastructure‑related stocks are expected to attract investor attention following the policy release. Tata Steel could benefit from the 604‑million‑tonne capacity target and the emphasis on high‑value, technologically upgraded, environmentally sustainable production. JSW Steel may see support for its long‑term expansion plans if the policy translates into fresh investments and heightened domestic demand. Steel Authority of India (SAIL) could gain from the push to strengthen domestic production and reduce import dependence.

Jindal Steel and Jindal Stainless are highlighted as potential beneficiaries of capacity expansion and a higher share of high‑end steel, respectively. NMDC, an iron ore producer, may see increased demand for domestic raw materials as steel production expands and import dependence is reduced. Lloyds Metals and Energy could benefit from raw‑material security emphasis, while MOIL’s manganese ore production may support steelmaking needs. The impact on each company will depend on production volumes, commodity prices and policy implementation details.

Construction and infrastructure, which account for about 67 per cent of steel consumption, could support Larsen & Toubro’s engineering and construction services, though the policy does not guarantee new orders. BEML may see indirect opportunities if the policy drives investment in railways, mining and infrastructure, contingent on actual project spending. Container Corporation of India (CONCOR) and Transport Corporation of India (TCI) could benefit from increased movement of raw materials and finished steel, depending on freight volumes and network utilisation.

The policy remains in draft form and is open for stakeholder consultation. Its long‑term targets will only materialise if the final framework translates into concrete investments, capacity additions and demand growth. Investors should monitor how the proposed measures are adopted and how they affect the operational and financial prospects of the highlighted companies. The article is informational and not investment advice.